[1]田 川.中国对哈萨克斯坦贸易与直接投资关系研究[J].金融教育研究,2015,(05):42-48.
　TIAN Chuan.Research on the Relationship with Trade and OFDI between China and Kazakhstan[J].,2015,(05):42-48.
点击复制

中国对哈萨克斯坦贸易与直接投资关系研究()
分享到：

《金融教育研究》[ISSN:1006-6977/CN:61-1281/TN]

卷:
期数:
2015年05期
页码:
42-48
栏目:
经济发展与管理决策
出版日期:
2015-10-30

文章信息/Info

Title:
Research on the Relationship with Trade and OFDI between China and Kazakhstan
文章编号:
2095-0098(2015)05-0042-07
作者:
田 川
新疆财经大学 金融学院,新疆 乌鲁木齐 830000
Author(s):
TIAN Chuan
School of Finance,Xinjiang University of Finance and Economics,Urumqi,Xinjiang 830000,China
关键词:
直接投资;  贸易效应;  VEC模型;  一带一路
Keywords:
OFDI;  trade effect;  VEC model;  OBAOR
分类号:
F830.59
文献标志码:
A
摘要:
随着中国对哈国直接投资的迅速增加势必会给两国贸易带来影响。为了深入分析对哈直接投资对两国贸易产生何种效应,文章首先从两国贸易商品结构和对哈直接投资流入领域的视角进行了理论分析,最后通过建立长期均衡模型和构建VEC模型量化分析了对哈直接投资产生的贸易效应。结果表明,长期内对哈直接投资会对中—哈进口产生创造效应,对中—哈出口产生一定的替代效应但不明显。短期内,对哈直接投资对中哈进出口的影响效应不明显。
Abstract:
With the rapid increasing of China’s direct investment in Kazakhstan,it is bound to affect the bilateral trade.For in-depth analysis of what the effect on bilateral trade,the article first made a theoretical analysis from the perspective of the bilateral trade commodity structure and the field of FDI in Kazakhstan.Then through the establishment of long-term equilibrium model and VEC model,it made a quantitative analysis of Kazakhstan’s direct investments effect.The results show that in the long term FDI in Kazakhstan would produce imports creation effect and it also produce certain substitution effect but not obvious.In the short term,the impact on the bilateral import and export effect is not obvious.

参考文献/References:

[1]新疆金融学会秘书处课题组.中国(新疆)与中亚国家经济互补性的领域项目及金融配套支持研究[J].新疆金融,2008(s1):8-24.
[2]闫亚娟,王海燕.中哈贸易商品结构分析及竞争力比较[J].俄罗斯中亚东欧市场,2010(06):17-21.
[3]保建云.中亚五国的经济增长、国际贸易发展及与中国的经贸合作前景分析[J].俄罗斯中亚东欧市场,2009(06):28-40.
[4]段秀芳.中国对上海合作组织国家贸易发展特点及其地位[J].新疆社会科学,2013(05):74-84.
[5]外力·依米提.中国新疆与哈萨克斯坦的边境贸易发展研究[J].中国商贸,2013(16):160-161.
[6]刘文翠,杨锦平.中国对哈萨克斯坦直接投资现状与问题解析[J].欧亚经济,2014(01):90-100.
[7]郜志雄,王颖.中国与哈萨克斯坦经贸合作前景的实证分析-基于贸易、投资国际比较的视角[J].国际贸易问题,2011(03):52-60.
[8]Markusen,James R.Eactor Movements and Commodity Trade as Complements [J].Journal of International Economics,1983,14(3-4):341-356.
[9]Helpman Elhanan.A Simple Theory of International Trade with Multinational Corporations [J].Journal of Political Economy,1984,92(03):451-471.
[10]Horstman,I.J.and J.R.Markusen.Endogenous Market Strctures in International Trade [J].Journal of International Economics,1992,32(1-2):109-129.
[11]Neary,J.P.Factor Mobility and International Trade[J].Canadian Journal of Economics,1995(28):53-68.
[12]P.Patrie.The Regional Clustering of Foreign Direct Investment and Trade[M].Transnational corporation.DEC.1994:78-83.

备注/Memo

备注/Memo:
收稿日期:2015-06-12
作者简介:田 川(1989-),新疆财经大学金融学院硕士研究生,主要研究方向为国际金融。
更新日期/Last Update: 2015-10-30