[1]邹亚宝,陈戈.基于格兰杰因果关系检验的我国银行保险退保因素分析[J].金融教育研究,2014,(03):8-14.
　ZOU Yabao,CHEN Ge.Factor Analysis of the Surrender in Bancassurance in China---Based on Granger Causality Test[J].,2014,(03):8-14.
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基于格兰杰因果关系检验的我国银行保险退保因素分析()
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《金融教育研究》[ISSN:1006-6977/CN:61-1281/TN]

卷:
期数:
2014年03期
页码:
8-14
栏目:
出版日期:
2014-06-30

文章信息/Info

Title:
Factor Analysis of the Surrender in Bancassurance in China---Based on Granger Causality Test
作者:
邹亚宝;陈戈;
广东外语外贸大学 经贸学院,广东 广州,510006
Author(s):
ZOU Yabao; CHEN Ge
关键词:
银行保险; 退保; 格兰杰因果关系检验
Keywords:
bancassurance;  surrender;  granger causality test
分类号:
F840.4
文献标志码:
A
摘要:
我国银行保险内存不足。通过格兰杰因果关系检验对"财务危机"和"利率替代"两种假说进行实证检验后得出:短期利率波动对银行保险退保影响不显著,长期利率波动对银行保险退保影响较显著,失业对银行保险退保短期影响较显著,证券投资波动对银行保险退保影响最为显著。为了降低我国银行保险的退保率,要深化银保合作机制,为了降低市场因素带来的影响,可适当提高银保产品的收益率,银保产品不要过于理财化,可适当增加一些保障功能。
Abstract:
Due to the insufficient funds in bancassurance,this article analyze the market factors which affects the surrender of bancassurance product. Using Granger Causality Test,we domonstrate the hypothesis of“financial crisis”and“interest rate substitute”. It concluded that the volatility in short - term interest rates has not remarkable effect on the surrender of bancassurance product,while volatility in long - term interest rates has remarkable effect on it. Unemployment only affects the surrender of bancassurance product in the short term,and the fluctuation of portfolio investment takes an important role in it significantly. In order to bring down the surrender rate in our coun-try,the first thing we should do is to deepen the cooperation mechanism between the bank and insurance company. Besides,increasing the rate of return,offering bancassurance products properly and adding the risk - averting func-tion are proper methods to reduce the influence of market factors.

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备注/Memo

备注/Memo:
国家自然基金面上项目(71273068); 广东省哲学社会科学规划项目(GD12CYJ10); 广东省自然科学规划项目(S201301001519)
更新日期/Last Update: 1900-01-01