[1]梁 琪,张华通.货币政策对住房价格波动影响实证检验[J].金融教育研究,2018,(03):40-46.
 LIANG Qi,ZHANG Huatong.The Empirical Test of the Effect of Monetary Policy on Housing Price Fluctuation[J].,2018,(03):40-46.
点击复制

货币政策对住房价格波动影响实证检验()
分享到:

《金融教育研究》[ISSN:1006-6977/CN:61-1281/TN]

卷:
期数:
2018年03期
页码:
40-46
栏目:
金融理论探讨
出版日期:
2018-06-20

文章信息/Info

Title:
The Empirical Test of the Effect of Monetary Policy on Housing Price Fluctuation
文章编号:
2095-0098(2018)03-0040-07
作者:
梁 琪 张华通
河北经贸大学 金融学院,河北 石家庄 050061
Author(s):
LIANG Qi ZHANG Huatong
School of Finance,Hebei University of Economics and Business,Shijiazhuang,Hebei 050061,China
关键词:
货币政策 住房价格 VAR 脉冲响应分析 格兰杰因果检验
Keywords:
monetary policy housing price VAR pulse response analysis Granger causality test
分类号:
F820
文献标志码:
A
摘要:
房地产业过热、房价不断攀升的现象已经成为当前经济社会所面临的挑战之一,为了进行有效房地产业的宏观调控,保障市场经济的平稳运行,自2003年起我国将房价纳入货币政策的实施目标。文章从贷款利率、银行信贷和货币供应量角度,以住宅房价为研究对象,通过建立VAR协整方程并进行格兰杰因果检验与脉冲响应分析,探究对于新建住房与二手住房的不同影响,为房价调控政策的制定提供可能的方向。
Abstract:
The phenomenon of overheated real estate and rising house prices has become one of the challenges facing the current economic society.In order to carry out the macro-control of the effective real estate industry and guarantee the smooth operation of the market economy,since 2003,China has put the housing price into the target of monetary policy.From the perspective of loan interest rate,bank credit and money supply; taking housing price as a research object; by establishing the VAR Cointegration Equation; this paper carries on Granger causality test and impulse response analysis,explores the different effects of new housing and second-hand housing,and provides possible direction for the formulation of house-price control policy.

参考文献/References:

[1]Kau J B,Keenan D.The theory of housing and interest rates [J].Journal of Financial,1980(4):833-847.
[2]Harris J C.The effect of real rates of interest on housing prices [J].The journal of real estate Finance and Economics,1980,2(1):47-60.
[3]Pavlov A,Wachter S.Bank lending and real estate in Asia:market optimism and asset bubbles [J].Journal of Asian Economics,2004,15(6):1103-1118.
[4]李善燊,沈悦.中国“房价之谜”的检验与原因分析[J].上海经济研究,2012(8):42-51
[5]魏玮.货币政策对房地产市场冲击效力的动态测度[J].当代财经,2008(8):55-60.
[6]刘雪梅.我国房地产价格走势与利率汇率机制改革[J].经济问题探索,2005(5):113-115
[7]吴凡.房地产价格与宏观经济关系的实证研究[D].北京:对外经济贸易大学,2006.
[8]Lastrapes,William D.The real price of housing and money supply shocks:time series evidence and theoretical simulations[J].Journal of Housing Economics,2002,11(1):40-74.
[9]Jin Y,Zeng Z.Residential investment and house price in a multi-sector monetary business cycle model[J].Journal of Housing Economics,2004,13(4):268-286.
[10]聂雪峰,刘传哲.我国货币政策影响房地产市场的实证分析[J].河南金融管理干部学院学报,2005(4):63-65.
[11]余元全.流动性过剩对资产价格膨胀的影响[J].浙江金融,2007(5):34-35.
[12]谭政勋.房价、CPI与货币政策传导机制的中美比较研究[J].亚太经济,2013⑴:93-98.

相似文献/References:

[1]刘继广,沈志群.论货币政策传导的成本渠道[J].金融教育研究,2012,(02):3.
 LIU Jiguang,SHEN Zhiqun.The Cost Channel of Monetary Policy Transmission[J].,2012,(03):3.
[2]张细松.我国货币政策多重非对称效应实证检验[J].金融教育研究,2012,(05):3.
 Zhang Xisong.The Empirical Test of Multiple Asymmetric Effects of Monetary Policy in China[J].,2012,(03):3.
[3]李顺勇.货币冲销政策的理论分析[J].金融教育研究,2014,(02):25.
 LI Shunyong.Analysis of Monetary Sterilization Policy[J].,2014,(03):25.
[4]石立帅.影响跨境贸易人民币结算发展的宏观经济因素实证分析[J].金融教育研究,2014,(03):24.
 SHI Lishuai.The Empirical Analysis of the Impacts of Macroeconomic Factors on the development of RMB Settlement in Cross - Border Trade[J].,2014,(03):24.

备注/Memo

备注/Memo:
收稿日期:2018-03-12
作者简介:梁 琪(1993-),女,河北衡水人,硕士研究生,研究方向为资本市场与房地产投融资;
张华通(1993-),男,河北石家庄人,硕士研究生,研究方向为区域金融。
更新日期/Last Update: 2018-06-20