[1]张 帆,伍 晨.影响中国公司债信用利差的因素研究——基于中国公司债面板数据的实证[J].金融教育研究,2021,(04):50-61.
 ZHANG Fan,WU Chen.Study on Factors Influencing the Credit Spreads of Chinese Corporate Bonds——Empirical Evidence Based on China's Corporate Bond Panel Data[J].,2021,(04):50-61.
点击复制

影响中国公司债信用利差的因素研究——基于中国公司债面板数据的实证()
分享到:

《金融教育研究》[ISSN:1006-6977/CN:61-1281/TN]

卷:
期数:
2021年04期
页码:
50-61
栏目:
金融论坛
出版日期:
2021-07-25

文章信息/Info

Title:
Study on Factors Influencing the Credit Spreads of Chinese Corporate Bonds——Empirical Evidence Based on China's Corporate Bond Panel Data
文章编号:
2095-0098(2021)04-0050-12
作者:
张 帆 伍 晨
西安交通大学 经济与金融学院,陕西 西安 710061
Author(s):
ZHANG Fan WU Chen
School of Economics and Finance,Xi'an Jiaotong University,Xi'an,Shaanxi 710061,China
关键词:
公司债 信用利差 信用风险 流动性风险
Keywords:
Corporation bond Credit spread Credit risk Liquidity risk
分类号:
F830.91
文献标志码:
A
摘要:
从结构化模型的输入变量、流动性风险及公司债个债特性三个方面研究中国公司债信用利差的影响因素。首先,采用2009年9月—2017年9月公司债的月度数据,运用面板回归的方法,分析了公司债信用利差的影响因素。面板回归结果显示:杆杆比率、系统性风险及流动性风险越大时,公司债信用利差越大; 无风险利率及无风险利率斜率越小时,公司债信用利差越大; 公司价值波动率对公司债信用利差影响不明显。其次,对2017年9月30日的公司债截面数据进行回归分析,结果显示:信用利差和杠杆比率正向变化,与发行规模反向变化; 发行人所属行业不同,信用利差不同; 信用评级、特殊条款、发行方式及剩余期限对信用利差影响很小。最后根据研究结论提出了相关对策建议。
Abstract:
This paper studies the influence factors of Chinese corporate bond credit spreads from three aspects:structural model input variables,liquidity risk and corporate bond characteristics.Firstly,the monthly data of corporate bonds from September 2009 to September 2017 were used to analyze the influencing factors of corporate bond credit spreads by using panel regression method.The results of panel regression show that the larger the risk of lever ratio,systematic risk and liquidity risk,the larger the credit spread of corporate bonds; the lower the slope of risk-free interest rate and risk-free interest rate,the larger the credit spreads of corporate bonds; corporate value volatility has little impact on corporate bond credit spreads.Secondly,the regression analysis of the corporate bond section data on September 30,2017 showed that the credit spreads and leverage ratio had positive changes,and the issuance scale had negative changes; different issuers in different industries have different credit spreads; credit rating,special terms,issuance and remaining maturity have little impact on credit spreads.Finally,the paper puts forward relevant policy suggestions according to the research conclusion.

参考文献/References:

[1]Black F,Scholes M.The Pricing of Options and Corporate Liabilities[J].Journal of Political Economy,1973(3):637-654.
[2]Merton R C.An Intertemporal Capital Asset Pricing Model[J].Econometrica,1973(5):867-887.
[3]Leland H E,Toft K B.Optimal Capital Structure,Endogenous Bankruptcy,and the Term Structure of Credit Spreads[J].The Journal of Finance,1998(3):987-1019.
[4]Duffie D,Lando D.Term Structures of Credit Spreads with Incomplete Accounting Information[J].Econometrica,2010(3):633-664.
[5]Duffie D,Singleton K J.Modeling Term Structures of Defaultable Bonds[J].The Review of Financial Studies,1999(4):687-720.
[6]Vasicek O.An Equilibrium Characterization of the Term Structure[J].Journal of Financial & Quantitative Analysis,1977(4):627-627.
[7]Geske R.The Valuation of Corporate Liabilities as Compound Options[J].Journal of Financial & Quantitative Analysis,1977(4):541-552.
[8]Amihud Y,Mendelson H.Asset Pricing and the Bid-ask Spread[J].Journal of Financial Economics,1986(2):223-249.
[9]Jacoby G,Fowler D J,Gottesman A A.The Capital Asset Pricing Model and the Liquidity Effect:A Theoretical Approach[J].Journal of Financial Markets,2000(1):69-81.
[10]Amihud Y,Mendelson H.Liquidity,Maturity,and the Yields on U.S.Treasury Securities[J].The Journal of Finance,1991(4):1411-1425.
[11]Brennan M J,Subrahmanyam A.Market Microstructure and Asset Pricing:On the Compensation for Illiquidity in Stock Returns[J].Journal of Financial Economics,1996(3):441-464.
[12]Jarrow R A,Turnbull S M.The Intersection of Market and Credit Risk[J].Journal of Banking & Finance,2000(1):271-299.
[13]Madan D,Unal H.A Two-Factor Hazard Rate Model for Pricing Risky Debt and the Term Structure of Credit Spreads[J].Journal of Financial & Quantitative Analysis,2000(1):43-65.
[14]Collindufresn P,Goldstein R S,Martin J S.The Determinants of Credit Spread Changes[J].The Journal of Finance,2001(6):2177-2207.
[15]Elton E J,Green T C.Tax and Liquidity Effects in Pricing Government Bonds[J].The Journal of Finance,2010(5):1533-1562.
[16]Chen L,Lesmond D A,Wei J.Corporate Yield Spreads and Bond Liquidity[J].The Journal of Finance,2007(1):119-149.
[17]Longstaff F A,Mithal S,Neis E.Corporate Yield Spreads:Default Risk or Liquidity?New Evidence from the Credit Default Swap Market[J].The Journal of Finance,2005(5):2213-2253.
[18]王小华,邵斌.基于Leland-Toft模型的我国上市公司信用风险研究[J].财经研究,2005(8):38-47+58.
[19]吴恒煜,张仁寿.结构化模型中违约概率的比较静态分析及实证[J].系统工程,2005(5):61-66.
[20]周孝坤.公司债券定价结构化模型实证分析[J].社会科学家,2006(4):65-68.
[21]李鹏,任兆璋.考虑流动性风险的可违约债券定价模型[J].统计与决策,2006(2):25-26.
[22]解文增,孙谦,范龙振.结构化模型的实证研究——基于中国公司债的数据[J].投资研究,2014(5):34-49.
[23]范龙振,张处.中国债券市场债券风险溢酬的宏观因素影响分析[J].管理科学学报,2009(6):116-124.
[24]王安兴,解文增,余文龙.中国公司债利差的构成及影响因素实证分析[J].管理科学学报,2012(5):32-41.
[25]付冰晨.我国公司债信用风险及与信用利差关系研究[D].上海社会科学院,2017.
[26]董乐.银行间债券市场流动性溢价问题研究[J].运筹与管理,2007(4):79-88.
[27]周叶芹,吴笛,黄莉,等.现代资产组合理论在中国市场的创新与应用研究[J].金融教育研究,2019(6):34-39.
[28]赵静,方兆本.中国公司债信用利差决定因素——基于结构化理论的实证研究[J].管理科学与工程,2011(11):138-148.
[29]张超,杜斌.我国企业债券市场流动性影响因素的实证研究[J].统计教育,2007(7):51-53.
[30]李亚平.中国债券市场信用利差研究[D].上海:华东师范大学,2017.
[31]陈施微.我国企业债券利差影响因素的实证研究[D].浙江:浙江大学,2008.
[32]朱如飞.公司债的非流动性与风险溢价——基于中国的实证研究[J].投资研究,2013(1):43-55.

相似文献/References:

[1]孙素侠.公司债信用风险防范的难点与破解对策研究[J].金融教育研究,2022,(03):15.
 SUN Suxia.Research on the Difficulties and Countermeasures of Corporate Debt Credit Risk Prevention[J].,2022,(04):15.

备注/Memo

备注/Memo:
收稿日期:2020-02-10
基金项目:国家社会科学基金重点项目“创新驱动战略的实施机制与政策优化选择研究”(18AJY004); 陕西省软科学重点项目“陕西省实施创新驱动战略的路径及对策研究”(2019KRZ001)
作者简介:张 帆(1964-),男,陕西榆林人,博士,教授,研究方向为产业经济及管理; 伍晨(通信作者)。
更新日期/Last Update: 2021-08-10